- Pick
- Canadiens ML
- Odds
- +135
- Units
- 1.00u
- Profit
- +1.35u
Montreal does not need to dominate this matchup. It just needs this price to be too long.
The Canadiens already won twice in Tampa this month, including a 4-3 road win on April 19 and a 4-1 road win on March 31. This is not some blind dog shot against a team that has owned the matchup.
The standings support that too. Both clubs finished with 106 points. Tampa won 50 games, Montreal won 48, and the season series finished 4-4.
Current form does not force a Lightning premium either. Tampa is 4-6 over its last ten. Montreal is 5-5. The gap is smaller than this number suggests.
Montreal gets Jakub Dobes confirmed in net, and the top-end scoring is real with Cole Caufield coming off a 51-goal season. Plus money is enough when the matchup has already played like a coin flip.