Joe Burrow has thrown at least 4 touchdown passes in each of Cincinnati's past 3 games. Atlanta now faces him without edge rusher Samson Ebukam, who went on injured reserve this week.
Burrow leads the NFL with a 73% completion rate and 302.1 passing yards per game this season. Cincinnati has converted 46 of 87 third downs this season.
I'm laying Bengals -3 because Cincinnati can build a lead through sustained drives and run stops on early downs.
The Bengals have stuffed an NFL-best 31.7% of outside-zone runs this season, challenging the runs Atlanta uses with Bijan Robinson.
Stopping runs on early downs would push the Falcons toward third downs, where they've converted 32 of 96 attempts this season.