I'm taking South Carolina -7.5 against an Arkansas defense allowing touchdowns on 80% of opponents' red-zone trips. Arkansas' offense has converted 53% of its own trips through 9 games.
South Carolina averages 34.7 points through 9 games, compared with Arkansas' 20.0. I expect South Carolina to turn that red-zone weakness into a lead beyond a touchdown.
The Gamecocks have allowed 2 touchdowns across their last 10 quarters, from the second half against Tennessee through Oklahoma and Texas A&M.
Their last two SEC road wins were 38-19 at Florida and 42-25 at Oklahoma.