I like Army +7.5 because St Thomas (MN) has been giving opponents second chances.
The Tommies were outrebounded in each of their first three games, 117-90 combined. Those opponents collected 39 offensive rebounds against St. Thomas' 19.
Army just grabbed 19 offensive boards at New Haven, compared with the Chargers' 7. The Black Knights also committed only 6 turnovers and finished with 72 field-goal attempts to New Haven's 50.
Nnaemeka Ikechi supplied 5 offensive rebounds in 12 minutes off the bench. Starters Tate Laczkowski and Kevin McCarthy added 3 apiece.
Army converted those second chances into a 15-3 scoring advantage. Extending possessions against the Tommies' rebounding weakness is how I expect the Black Knights to stay within seven.


