I'm taking Under 161 in Pitt–Butler because I expect Pitt's perimeter defense to cut into Butler's scoring.
Through their first 3 games, Pitt's opponents shot 29.6% from three while Butler shot 35.8%. Butler took 59.1% of its field-goal attempts from three, 10th nationally.
Pitt's games against Rider, Buffalo and Penn State finished with 152, 141 and 158 total points, all below this line. The 82-76 Penn State game included 58 combined free-throw attempts.


