I'm taking Milwaukee +23.5 for its inside scoring and rebounding against a TCU team that just struggled in both areas.
The Panthers beat Indiana State 82-73 Wednesday, winning paint scoring 42-34 and rebounds 43-33. They scored 82 points with just 4 made threes.
ULM won paint scoring 40-34 and rebounds 48-37 in a game that went to double overtime. TCU was tied 83-83 after regulation and finished only 8 points ahead.
That overlap gives Milwaukee a way to stay within 23 points through paint scoring and rebounds, rather than needing a hot night from 3.
The Panthers' 8 turnovers at Indiana State also marked a change from 17 at USC and 18 at Santa Clara. Repeating that ball security would give Milwaukee more chances to attack TCU inside.