Under 149.5 in Michigan St. vs. Duke rests on shot defense carrying over to Chicago. Through two games, Duke has allowed 32.2% shooting and Michigan State has allowed 34.5%.
Duke's opponents, Army and Coastal Carolina, went a combined 12-for-52 from three. Quinnipiac and Toledo combined for 11-for-42 against Michigan State.
Duke also has a way to keep Michigan State from rescuing misses with putbacks. Against Coastal, the Blue Devils collected 39 defensive rebounds and allowed 4 second-chance points.
Michigan State allowed Toledo 6 second-chance points and collected 36 defensive rebounds.