I'm taking Old Dominion -8 against Longwood because ODU has been creating double-digit margins with its defense and rebounding.
The Monarchs have allowed 57.0 points per game in their three Division I wins. They beat Western Michigan by 12, Bucknell by 20 and Norfolk State by 11, clearing this margin at home and on the road.
Longwood has averaged 76.5 points in its two Division I games, including overtime against North Carolina Central. In its only road game, an 82-73 loss at Saint Joseph's, the Lancers shot 37.1% against the Hawks' 44.4%.
The Monarchs also won the boards 37-20 at Bucknell and 33-18 at Norfolk State. Against Norfolk State, they turned 12 offensive rebounds into 10 second-chance points, compared with 2 for the Spartans.