I like Over 153 in Furman-Belmont because Furman's inside scoring matches the problem Belmont had at Lipscomb.
Furman scored 50 paint points in Wednesday's 80-67 win at Holy Cross. Belmont allowed 50 paint points in Tuesday's 88-75 loss at Lipscomb.
Furman also made 15 of 33 threes in its 98-83 win over Northern Iowa. Belmont has to defend that outside threat alongside the paint scoring Furman showed at Holy Cross.
Jack Smiley gives Belmont a shooter to test Furman at the other end. He hit 5 of 10 threes for 23 points at Lipscomb, while Holy Cross made 10 of 27 against Furman.
Furman's three Division I scores are 79, 98 and 80. Belmont scored 75 in each of its last two games. A repeat of Furman's lowest output in that sample alongside another 75 from Belmont would produce 154.