I like Bakersfield -8.5 because W Illinois has already been hurt in the paint and by turnovers.
Houston Christian scored 52 of its 74 points in the paint against Western Illinois on Saturday. The Leathernecks' 16 turnovers also became 29 Houston Christian points.
Bakersfield won the paint 44-24 and fast-break scoring 27-4 in Sunday's 91-80 win over North Dakota State. Kjay Bradley had 8 assists.
Bakersfield turned a 7-point second-half deficit into an 11-point win. I expect its paint scoring and transition chances off Western Illinois' turnovers to produce the nine-point margin needed here.


