Trail Blazers @ Spurs
Blazers vs Spurs under 221.5 leans on a season series averaging 218.3 points, Portland's 17.3 turnovers per game, and a San Antonio defense that has held 5 of its last 10 opponents to 102 or fewer.
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221.5 is asking for more pace than this matchup has shown all season. The three meetings between Portland and San Antonio finished with 217, 225, and 213 total points, which puts the season average at 218.3.
The most recent meeting in San Antonio ended 112-101 on April 8. Portland averages 115.5 points per game for the season, but the Blazers also turn it over 17.3 times per game and shoot 34.3 percent from three, which is not a great recipe against a top-tier home favorite.
San Antonio comes in 62-20 with a plus-8.3 point differential and has held 5 of its last 10 opponents to 102 points or fewer. If this lands in the same range as the earlier meetings, the market is still a touch too high on this total.
