

Raptors @ Cavaliers
Cleveland already covered twice at home against Toronto this month, brings the better full-season profile, and gets this matchup with a clean injury report while Toronto remains without Immanuel Quickley.
Ad | Affiliate — I may earn a commission if you sign up through these links. This never influences my picks. Learn more
Cleveland is back home for a spot it already solved twice this month.
The Cavaliers beat Toronto 126-113 on April 18 and 115-105 on April 20, both in Cleveland. That matters here because the last two meetings flipped to Toronto and the margins flipped with it.
Cleveland still owns the stronger full-season profile. The Cavs finished 52-30 with 119.5 points per game and a +4.1 differential. Toronto finished 46-36 with 114.6 points per game and a +2.8 differential.
Availability helps the favorite too. Cleveland has no listed injuries. Toronto still has Immanuel Quickley out, which is a tough setup against a team already scoring 119.5 a night.
Donovan Mitchell is still seventh in the league at 27.9 points per game, and Cleveland has already shown this matchup can get away from Toronto on this floor. Laying -10 is not cheap, but the home version of this series already landed 13 and 10.