Houston has allowed 20.2 points per game off turnovers through 10 games. The Nuggets have averaged 9.88 steals per game through 8 games, making the Rockets’ ball security the starting point for Over 218.5.
Houston has ways to add points without another trip up the floor. Through 10 games, the Rockets have averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds and 16.0 second-chance points.
At the line, Houston has averaged 25.5 attempts and made 82.0% over that same span.