I like Over 225.5 in Nets-Grizzlies because Brooklyn's fouls and three-point defense give Memphis two ways to drive the scoring.
Through their first 11 games, the Nets allowed 40.1 three-point attempts per game, third-most in the NBA. Memphis shot 38.9% from three over its first 11, second-best in the league.
Brooklyn also allowed 29.2 free-throw attempts per game, fourth-most. That puts the NBA's best free-throw shooting team at the other end: Memphis made 85.3% over that same 11-game sample.
The Nets bring their own foul pressure, averaging 29.3 free-throw attempts per game through 11 games, fifth-most. Egor Demin returned Wednesday with 22 points alongside Michael Porter Jr.'s 22 in the 145-111 win at New Orleans.
Memphis averaged 117.9 points over its first 11 games, seventh in the NBA. Brooklyn averaged 110.2 across its 11 games. Those scoring averages total 228.1, above the 226 needed.


