I'm taking Under 220.5 in Knicks-Pacers because New York's paint defense and poor finishing inside point toward fewer easy baskets.
Through Nov. 11, the Knicks held opponents to 53.6% shooting in the paint, fourth lowest in the NBA. Indiana faces that interior defense without Tyrese Haliburton, who is out with a left hamstring strain.
New York shot 51.7% in the paint, last in the league. That includes backup center Andre Drummond's 20-for-47 inside.
Across 11 games, the Knicks scored 110.3 points per game and allowed 103.5, the NBA's second fewest. Those full-game averages add up to roughly 213.8 combined points, 6.7 below the total.