Nationals @ Mets
Washington brings the better record into Citi Field, catches a Mets team that is 3-7 in its last ten games, and gets this price while New York is still missing Francisco Lindor and listing Luis Robert Jr. day to day.
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Washington is being priced like the worse team here, but the records do not back that up.
The Nationals come into this game 13-17. The Mets are 10-19. That alone makes +140 look long for a matchup between two teams living in the same part of the standings.
Recent form does not fix the Mets case either. New York is only 3-7 over its last ten games. Washington is 4-6, which is hardly dominant, but it is still the steadier profile at this price.
Availability leans toward the dog. The Mets are still without Francisco Lindor, and Luis Robert Jr. is listed day to day. Washington still has James Wood, CJ Abrams, Brady House and Keibert Ruiz active in the lineup.
Yesterday's 8-0 Mets win is the kind of result that can distort the next price. Over a bigger sample, Washington has the better record and the cleaner number. That is enough to back the dog on the moneyline.
