Brewers @ Marlins
Brewers @ Marlins Under 8 leans on Brandon Woodruff’s 0.93 WHIP, Sandy Alcantara’s 3.06 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, plus Milwaukee playing 3 of its last 4 games to 7 runs or fewer.
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This total is asking for a lot against two starters with real command. Brandon Woodruff has a 3.42 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, and only 4 walks in 23.2 innings. Sandy Alcantara is at a 3.06 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP across 35.1 innings.
Milwaukee has also been playing lower than the broad season profile lately. Three of the Brewers' last 4 games finished on 7, 3, and 3 total runs.
The lineup quality is lighter too. Milwaukee is still missing Jackson Chourio and Christian Yelich, which takes a lot of ceiling out of this order.
Miami can hit at the top, but Under 8 gives a little room above the 7.5 market. In a dome with Woodruff and Alcantara both carrying WHIPs close to 1.00, this sets up more like a 3-2 or 4-3 type game than a track meet.
